David Harmer Rejects Party Unity?

David Harmer won the opportunity to face Democrat Jerry McNerney in November. It’s going to be a rough and tumble contest. Neither party has a registration advantage, both at 30%, the rest are third party, decline to state, or independents.

Cook report lists the district at R+1, Lean D. Certainly not a cake walk for an incumbent Democrat, but not a perfect set up for a candidate as flawed a Harmer (his ballot designation as LAWYER reeks). Republicans are going to have to really work to get Harmer over the line.

So far, none of the main candidates in the recent bruising primary campaign have endorsed Harmer. Conversely, Harmer has made no effort to reach out to the losers. This is really dangerous!

McNerney is going to go down and dirty at the first chance, and Republicans had better be ready with a unified front. As it stands now, Harmer’s only solid majority are Republicans in the Western part of the district: the rest is up for grabs, especially when you think of his standing with Hispanic voters.

We Republicans need to remember that winning the general election is a very, very different animal than winning the primary. Harmer made sure he was the darling of most of the Tea Party movement, but the recent primary showed the weakness  os Tea Party California.

Harmer moved sharply left in his try in the 10th facing Garamendi, but couldn’t win against a significant registration deficit. He won’t have to move quite so far in CD 11, but he’ll still have to find a path that keeps the Republican faithful in the fold, and reaches out to disgruntled Democrat, independent, and DTS voters. This will be a real hat trick if we can pull it off.

Someone had better step up and make peace in the District. Disunity is a sure path to failure. We can only hope.

Published in: on June 17, 2010 at 5:21 pm  Leave a Comment  

CD 11 Down to the Wire

This is cross posted from our friends at RinoAlert.

The race in CD 11 is down to the wire: Republican establishment candidate David Harmer has moved from behind and is neck in neck with U.S. Marshal Tony Amador. Harmer has made much of his victim status due to an unfortunate mailer by Elizabeth Emken commenting on membership in the Mormon church. This resulted in a significant uptick in his fundraising (not to mention sympathy votes) and a last crash and burn for Emken.

At a recent event, I was challenged about my belief that Harmer would be a weak candidate against McNerney. We Republicans need to remember that who defeats McNerney is unimportant- what’s important is that he is defeated and we end the Pelosi dynasty.

Let’s remind ourselves about the 11th Congressional District-

REGISTRATION

Since the last gerrymander , the district is evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats.

 

Party Republican Democrat Decline to State Others
% Registratrion 39.30 39.06 17.72 3.92

The area has historically trended Republican, but that is mostly gone. Cook Report rates it at Republican +3, but this is optimistic.

DEMOGRAPHICS
  • 64.1% White
  • 19.7% Hispanic
  • 8.7% Asian
  • 3.4% African American

Generally affluent (over $60,000 median income) but unemployment in the Valley is running near 20%.

David Harmer must be able to attract enough DTS, disaffected Democrats, and Hispanic votes to have any chance. Put simply, he can’t.

NO HARMER PATH TO VICTORY

Wait until Jerry “Milquetoast” McNerney and the DCCC get their teeth into Harmer. Think of the choice hits Harmer will take-

  1. Carpetbagger
    This will hurt – despite the exceptions to the rule, and more importantly the DCCC spinmeisters will tell the story of district shopping and hypocritical positions at every turn
  2. Collection Lawyer for the credit card industry
    Everybody loves bill collectors
  3. TARP porker
    Recipient of TARP bailout money after taking a huge severance, then he proceeded to apply for and take unemployment benefits while running for Congress.
  4. Utah
    Candidate Emken’s scandalous anti Mormon comments in the Republican primary hurt her credibility, but you can count on the the Dems to make sure everyone in the District knows that the real story of Harmer’s values are in Utah not the Bible belt of the Central Valley. His shameless use of his religion and family to raise money will become an embarrassment.
  5. Anti-immigrant
    His “Arrest them all and send them back to Mexico”  attitude should eliminate that pesky Hispanic vote
  6. Intellectual and personal arrogance
    Harmer comes off as a parody in public. When cutting his radio commercial, his handlers had to alter his voice electronically for his radio.
  7. The 11th Commandment
    Harmer’s invocation of the “11th Commandment” and then waging a vicious whispering campaign to attack the integrity of his opponents will come back to haunt him.

The details of the predicted attacks don’t matter, this will become truth by the time the Democratic left wing attack machine is done with David Harmer. McNerney’s strategic positioning regarding Veterans and his “hide and deny” strategy will insure that Pelosi’s lap dog stays in the Dem kennel.

I challenge anyone to devise a strategy that gets Harmer over the goal line. Numbers matter: where is the coalition of voters to defeat McNerney? Is he going to turn out Hispanics to vote for him? Is his lawyerly past going to motivate the DTS folks? McNerney won’t win big, but he’ll win. Harmer is following the Dean Andal failure playbook.

If Harmer is the Republican candidate, it will be a national tragedy, not just a local embarrassment.

Published in: on June 4, 2010 at 6:39 pm  Comments (1)  
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CD 11 Horserace Continues

 

The Little Emken that Couldn’t

You’ve got to admire the Emken campaign. I don’t know who is running her campaign, but mired in single digits, he keeps  her swinging. See her new hit piece here. Unfortunately for Elizabeth, it’s more like a Warner Bros. cartoon-

Keep swinging, Elizabeth, you might hit something eventually.

Harmer Still Carpetbagging

Elizabeth’s playbook is right about one thing, Harmer is an opportunist carpetbagger who has worked for the credit card collection agencies most of his professional life.

When you hear him in person, you’d think he has spent his life writing books (yes, David, some of us know what a book is), and in the ivory towers of conservative think tanks (truth? 16 months of think tank work total).

Imagine the Fall campaign against the Democratic machine. . .

Harmer is the Democrat’s best hope to retain CD 11.

Goehring is Disqualified

Why the heck are we still dealing with this guy? His 15 minutes are up. No matter how his consultant tries to spin things, the whole shoot the liberals Facebook blow-up is clear: we can’t trust him with guns or an internet connection. Dumb is dumb.

Plus, in case anybody has missed it, people working illegally in the U.S. has become an issue, again. Goehring is a shill for those who hire illegal aliens; he’s admitted doing it himself. Any position he takes about illegal immigration must be assumed a lie unless it fesses up to this truth.

Imagine the Fall campaign against the Democratic machine. . .

Goehring is the the Democrat’s second best hope to retain CD 11.

When Will the Whining Stop?

David Harmer just can’t help himself! He continues to whine about self-invented religious attacks. First he trots out emails shamelessly using a mythical tale about his son, then has his wife feign indignation over invented religion bashing, then follows up today for another appeal for more money because of his new victim status. Here are some of the best of today’s whining and money grubbing:

Disgust! That’s my reaction. And I’m not the only one.

Last week, one of my opponents played the religion card. In a four-page attack mailer, she inserted a prominent and entirely unnecessary mention of my faith.

But I have to say, this latest nasty-gram left me stunned. I am simply appalled that someone would stoop to that level.

We welcome the encouragement and moral support. Of course, we also need money! Your contribution of $25, $35, $50, $100, or more will help us stay strong. We’re happy warriors here, and we’re eager to get back on the campaign trail.

This is your campaign, too … so please do your part. Our fundraising deadline is Wednesday, May 19 – tomorrow. Contributions of any amount are welcome and will be put to good use.

Cordially,
David Harmer

P.S. Although voters don’t like these desperate attacks, many remain undecided, and the primary is only three weeks away. We urgently need an infusion of funds to sustain our momentum through then. Thank you for your support.

Is this aimed at the typical CD 11 Republican? No, it’s just meant to gin up Mormon conservatives and scam them for even more than they’ve already given. Now that’s disgusting: Harmer really will stoop to anything.

Published in: on May 19, 2010 at 10:21 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Harmer’s Mormon Problem

David Harmer is a Mormon and is running a carpetbagger campaign in the CD 11 Republican primary. This would normally be no surprise nor problem. But the Harmer campaign has decided to make it an issue. There is nothing like victim status to help one get ahead in today’s politics.

Elizabeth Emken, also a candidate in the CD 11 Republican primary, sent out a campaign mailer that, I’m shocked to tell you, pictured a story about Harmer in the Mormon Times!! How despicable, to point up a Harmer article appearing in a Deseret News publication. Mrs. Harmer promptly fired off an indignant letter to everyone on Harmer’s contact list, reporting

But then she takes a gratuitous swipe at our faith … even putting “Mormon” in boldface.

It’s a none-too-subtle appeal to religious prejudice, and I find it repugnant.

Please, Elayne, methinks thou protesteth too much.

There is no gratuitous swipe at Mormonism (go here for that). No, the article in the Mormon Times is an important insight into Harmer as a possible Congressman. Harmer is quoted as saying that he “considers himself a Christian first, an American second, a conservative third and finally, a Republican.” Voters should know the candidate before casting a ballot.

The indignity over “even putting ‘Mormon’ in boldface” is simply silly. Here is the Mormon Times banner-

image

Mormon kind of jumps out at you, doesn’t it?

The allegation of religious prejudice is just a campaign tactic to energize more Mormons to donate to their co-religionist and claim victim status. This is not the first time Harmer has shamelessly used his family members as a campaign tactic.

The following is kind of long, but if you really want to know what kind of person David Harmer is, read away. Oh, and be sure to have a barf bag next to you just in case:

April 7, 2010. Harmer For Congress
Benjamin, my robust eight-year-old, attacks life with such gusto that he’s become a frequent patron of Kaiser’s minor injury clinic and emergency room. In fact, he’s on a first-name basis with several of the doctors, nurses, and support staff there. To his history of burns, broken bones, and stitches, he recently added a new injury: a stab wound. To the thigh. With a pocketknife. Through his jeans. Self-inflicted.
Home when it happened, I heard him shriek and came running.
"Benjamin," I said, a bit crossly, dressing the wound, "what were you doing playing with a knife? And why on earth did you stab yourself?"
"I was trying to get the quarters out," he answered, and he pointed toward one of his most prized possessions: his Statehood Quarters Collector’s Album. It lay open on the floor, with about half the quarters missing. Next to each empty slot on the 50-state map was a small gouge mark, about the size and shape that a boy trying to pry out a quarter with a pocketknife might leave.
"The quarters aren’t supposed to come out," I said. "Collecting means you save them."
"But I wanted to give them to your campaign," he explained.
Oh.
"Ben, you don’t have to do that."
"But I want to, Dad."
I gave him a hug, carried him to the Suburban, and watched as Elayne drove off, heading for the hospital.
Returning to Ben’s room, I found, next to the Statehood Quarters Collector’s Album, a response card for one of our fundraising events. (I had sent an invitation to each of the kids, wanting them to feel included and important.) Ben had carefully completed the card, writing his name and address, and even filling in the blank for the amount of his contribution: $12.50. With no money in his piggy bank, he had decided to give the only cash he had: his quarter collection.
Now, Ben’s is the only injury I know of that resulted from our fundraising drive. But his willingness to sacrifice for the cause of freedom exemplifies the spirit of this campaign. I have been humbled and inspired by the generosity of our supporters, over 1200 of whom rose to the challenge and assured that we attained our first-quarter goals. I’ll provide a full report next week, but for now, please know that with your help, the campaign is off to a remarkably strong start.

David Harmer is raw ambition personified. He will go anywhere, say anything, use anybody to realize his lifelong ambition to become a Congressman. I think we’d all be more comfortable if he went back to the district in which he lives, and ran for something he might be qualified for, say District Attorney?

FOLLOW UP: See Halfway to Concord’s discussion of the CD 11 races.

Published in: on May 18, 2010 at 6:34 pm  Comments (3)  
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Denham’s Sleazeball Tactics

Poor Jeff Denham, he appears to be a product of a politically correct education. His teachers must have thought George Washington just too white, too male, too Eurocentric to have burdened Jeff with “Father, I cannot tell a lie. I did it with my little hatchet.”

Jeff can lie, with a great big political hatchet! His lies about Peterson’s time as a city councilman and mayor and Pombo’s supposed corruptions problems are easily dismissed as convenient lies against an political opponent. But now he’s been caught up close and personal boldly lying.

Jeff was caught out on the Ray Appleton show on KMJ Radio. Jeff answers a caller by saying he did vote for Democratic budgets, but Mr. Appleton reminds Jeff that he earlier had denied this. Jeff has all kinds of excuses, but at root he’s lying.

Jeff defends his votes with the “we had to support Arnold” defense. Is this really the kind of tired, go-along to get-along Congressman CD 19 needs? Plus, one wonders if these votes had anything to do with raising a cool $800,000 for his campaign?

Jeff likes sleazeball politics; the mud must rejuvenate the skin in dry air of CD 18 where Jeff ought to be fighting for Republicanism against Cardoza instead of cheery picking a seat in CD 19.

If elected, Jeff will quickly become a toady for Republican leadership in the House, not an independent thinker working for his District, State, and Nation. Vote Denham, vote politics as usual.

Published in: on May 17, 2010 at 5:31 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Change Congress Before It’s Too Late

The Congressional Budget Office has finally had some time to examine the Obama Care legislation. Guess what? It’s going to cost more than the Democrats told us when they forced the thing down the country’s throat.

Congressional Budget Office estimates released Tuesday predict the health care overhaul will likely cost about $115 billion more in discretionary spending over ten years than the original cost projections (I’m shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!).

The CBO best guess is that the 10 year costs for Obama Care will exceed $1 trillion. This does not, of course, consider the law of unintended consequences. No one but a Democrat, living in his bubble of emotion and fantasy, thinks that this giant carbuncle on the economy is going to save a dime. (If you’ve forgotten, see the infamous Saturday Night Live skit here.)

If we hope to keep this country from going the way of the PIGS (Portugal, Italy [and/or Ireland], Greece, and Spain), we must have a Congress that realizes the effects of putting more and more of the economy in the hands of the government while taking on more and more public debt.

We here in the Central Valley have a chance to make a difference. We have some of the very, very few competitive congressional races in California. We could, with a coordinated effort, turn out Democrats Jerry McNerney in CD 11, Dennis Cardoza in CD 18, and Jim Costa in CD 20. Become active, choose wisely.

Published in: on May 12, 2010 at 5:58 pm  Leave a Comment  
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CD 3 Update

Dan Lungren is not a Republican in name only, he’s just a vanilla Republican who orbits closely around the Party leadership. Like any Representative, he makes the occasional head-scratching vote. Neither the Republican base nor independent/DTS voters are enamored of him (vanilla is just too bland). This may not be the year to be and run-of-the-mill incumbent.

He’s in trouble, and if Republicans hope to take the House in November, his campaign had better get with it. The Democrats have found a very credible candidate, Dr. Ami Bera, a first generation American physician of immigrants from India.

The DCCC has him on their special love list, and he’s going to have way more money come the general election. In response, the Lungren campaign recently delivered to district mailboxes a milquetoast piece chock full of Republican platitudes. Congressman, you’ve got to do better.

Dr. Bera is attractive, articulate, and well spoken. In other words, just the kind of supposed “moderate Democrat” that might win in a district that only “leans” Republican.

Lungren is going to have to make the case that Dr. Bera will just help keep in power the worst congress in generations. His team needs to think terribly hard about lifting him out of his self-imposed mediocrity. While Republicans across the nation are getting revved up about the fall elections, his district’s voters are depressingly moribund.

Help Dan Lungren if you can: http://www.danlungren.com/

Published in: on May 11, 2010 at 6:29 pm  Leave a Comment  
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CD 11 & CD 19 Races Heat Up

CD 11-

Lisa Vorderbrueggen at the Contra Costa times continues her great work with bios of the Republican primary candidates:

U. S. Marshal  Tony Amador

Farm Worker Contractor Brad Goehring

Mother and Autism Activist Elizabeth Emken

Lawyer David Harmer

 

CD 19-

Somebody got tired of the Pombo bashing. Great new site up all about the smears thrown up the Democrat Enviro-Radicals and RINOs afraid of a return to Congress by Richard Pombo.

Voters in the 19th need to think very hard about how effective they want their next Congressman to be- some unknown freshman or someone the entrenched interests are afraid of.

Myths and smears Logo

Published in: on May 10, 2010 at 3:52 pm  Leave a Comment  
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Jeff Denham Alert

The always shrewd Right on Daily discusses some of Jeff Denham’s ethical problems here. It seems he is “above the fray” when it comes to these kinds of issues.

Published in: on May 7, 2010 at 3:59 pm  Leave a Comment  
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