Add These to the Effects of AB 32?

from the editorial board of the Orange County Register

Unemployment in California has remained stuck well above 12 percent all year, compared with the 9.7 percent national rate in May. The national and California economic recoveries are weak, with especially slow job growth, as shown by both the June 3 Chapman University and the June 15 UCLA economic forecasts.

So, what is the Legislature doing? Working, perhaps, on the fiscal 2010-11 budget that was due June 15? Nope. They’re crafting jobs-killer bills. As the saying has it, no rest for the wicked. Some of the worst bills.

    Assembly Bill 482  by Assemblyman Tony Mendoza, D-Norwalk.

    In its language, the "bill would prohibit an employer, with the exception of certain financial institutions, from obtaining a consumer credit report for employment purposes unless the information is substantially job-related," etc. Exceptions would be made for management, law enforcement and as required by law. The concern is that, especially with so many defaults during the recession and housing crash, worthy people with bad credit ratings could be kept from decent jobs. It passed in the Assembly and was scheduled to be heard June 29 in the Senate Judiciary Committee.

    This is just more micromanagement of business, giving companies another reason to leave the state. And if the government still would be allowed to use credit checks for law enforcement, why not companies with mission-critical jobs? If, say, a company’s hot-shot computer programmer has a record of flaking out on mortgages and moving around the country, why shouldn’t that be a consideration on whether to hire him?

    Senate Bill 810 by Sen. Mark Leno, D-San Francisco.

    It imposes a huge new state bureaucracy, the California Healthcare System, which the bill says would be "a single-payer health care system that will provide coverage for which all 37 million Californians would be eligible." It passed the Senate and was scheduled to be heard in the Assembly Health Committee on June 29.

    The Obamacare legislation still is only a few months old and mostly won’t be implemented until 2014. It’s supposed to guarantee coverage for all Americans. At 2,400 pages, nobody knows what it actually will do or cost. Any major change by California, such as SB810, would only compound the confusion. We also oppose both so-called "reforms" because they set up vast new bureaucracies that, as critics say, will have the efficiency of the U.S. Postal Service and the bedside manner of the DMV.

    AB 846 by Assemblyman Alberto Torrico, D-Newark.

    In the bill’s wording, it "requires" state agencies involved in enforcing "environmental, health, and workplace safety laws" on businesses yearly to increase fines to take inflation into account. It also requires that the fines be raised "at a minimum" to a level that "recovers any economic benefits derived by the violator." The agencies would determine what the "economic benefits" are. The bill was to be heard this week in the Senate’s committee on government organization.

    The bill would give state agencies vast new bureaucratic controls over businesses. Even minor violations of the state’s labyrinthine business regulations could lead to massive fines to "recover any economic benefits," etc. This bill is so onerous it should include plane tickets to Texas, which is where the businesses will locate.

    AB 2492 by Assemblyman Tom Ammiano, D-San Francisco

    This is a direct assault on the Proposition 13, which currently limits property taxes to 1 percent of full cash value at the time of purchase, plus increases of no more than 2 percent per year. When a company owns property, if the company is taken over or merges, currently that is not considered a sale of property. This bill would change that to create a "change-of-ownership" reassessment of the property if, within three years, 100 percent of the property interest changes from "among other things, a merger, acquisition, private-equity buyout, or transfer of partnership shares in a business." The bill was pending before the Assembly Appropriations Committee.

    Prop. 13 is the most popular initiative in California history because it gives predictability to property taxes evaluations. It also gives equal valuations, and tax levies, on residential and business property, thus not favoring one over the other. If businesses are taxed more, zoning laws will favor them to get government the higher tax revenue, thus squeezing out new housing and making the state housing shortage even worse. Finally, cracking part of Prop. 13 could lead to an eventual assault on the whole measure, threatening residential owners. And higher taxes would mean businesses would have less money to create jobs.

    We urge the Legislature to oppose all these jobs-killer bills. If it passes any of them – and there are many more than we can list – Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger should veto them. High unemployment should not be made higher.

    Published in: on June 23, 2010 at 6:17 pm  Leave a Comment  

    CD 11 Down to the Wire

    This is cross posted from our friends at RinoAlert.

    The race in CD 11 is down to the wire: Republican establishment candidate David Harmer has moved from behind and is neck in neck with U.S. Marshal Tony Amador. Harmer has made much of his victim status due to an unfortunate mailer by Elizabeth Emken commenting on membership in the Mormon church. This resulted in a significant uptick in his fundraising (not to mention sympathy votes) and a last crash and burn for Emken.

    At a recent event, I was challenged about my belief that Harmer would be a weak candidate against McNerney. We Republicans need to remember that who defeats McNerney is unimportant- what’s important is that he is defeated and we end the Pelosi dynasty.

    Let’s remind ourselves about the 11th Congressional District-

    REGISTRATION

    Since the last gerrymander , the district is evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats.

     

    Party Republican Democrat Decline to State Others
    % Registratrion 39.30 39.06 17.72 3.92

    The area has historically trended Republican, but that is mostly gone. Cook Report rates it at Republican +3, but this is optimistic.

    DEMOGRAPHICS
    • 64.1% White
    • 19.7% Hispanic
    • 8.7% Asian
    • 3.4% African American

    Generally affluent (over $60,000 median income) but unemployment in the Valley is running near 20%.

    David Harmer must be able to attract enough DTS, disaffected Democrats, and Hispanic votes to have any chance. Put simply, he can’t.

    NO HARMER PATH TO VICTORY

    Wait until Jerry “Milquetoast” McNerney and the DCCC get their teeth into Harmer. Think of the choice hits Harmer will take-

    1. Carpetbagger
      This will hurt – despite the exceptions to the rule, and more importantly the DCCC spinmeisters will tell the story of district shopping and hypocritical positions at every turn
    2. Collection Lawyer for the credit card industry
      Everybody loves bill collectors
    3. TARP porker
      Recipient of TARP bailout money after taking a huge severance, then he proceeded to apply for and take unemployment benefits while running for Congress.
    4. Utah
      Candidate Emken’s scandalous anti Mormon comments in the Republican primary hurt her credibility, but you can count on the the Dems to make sure everyone in the District knows that the real story of Harmer’s values are in Utah not the Bible belt of the Central Valley. His shameless use of his religion and family to raise money will become an embarrassment.
    5. Anti-immigrant
      His “Arrest them all and send them back to Mexico”  attitude should eliminate that pesky Hispanic vote
    6. Intellectual and personal arrogance
      Harmer comes off as a parody in public. When cutting his radio commercial, his handlers had to alter his voice electronically for his radio.
    7. The 11th Commandment
      Harmer’s invocation of the “11th Commandment” and then waging a vicious whispering campaign to attack the integrity of his opponents will come back to haunt him.

    The details of the predicted attacks don’t matter, this will become truth by the time the Democratic left wing attack machine is done with David Harmer. McNerney’s strategic positioning regarding Veterans and his “hide and deny” strategy will insure that Pelosi’s lap dog stays in the Dem kennel.

    I challenge anyone to devise a strategy that gets Harmer over the goal line. Numbers matter: where is the coalition of voters to defeat McNerney? Is he going to turn out Hispanics to vote for him? Is his lawyerly past going to motivate the DTS folks? McNerney won’t win big, but he’ll win. Harmer is following the Dean Andal failure playbook.

    If Harmer is the Republican candidate, it will be a national tragedy, not just a local embarrassment.

    Published in: on June 4, 2010 at 6:39 pm  Comments (1)  
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    Gallup generic ballot suggests 45 seat Republican gain

    By Neil Stevens on June 1, 2010, at Unlikely Voter

    The new Gallup generic ballot is out. Republicans have jumped to a 49-43 advantage, which National Review Online says is the largest Republican lead in 60 years.

    Given the historical accuracy of the Gallup generic ballot in midterm elections, let’s plug this result in to the Swingometer.

    In 2008, per Wikipedia, the national popular vote for the House went 53% for the Democrats and 43% for the Republicans. That translates to a 55 D-45 R two party vote when we subtract other votes. That gives the Democrats a 10 point advantage in 2008.

    The current Gallup Generic Ballot reads 43 for the Democrats and 49 for the Republicans. That translates to a two party vote of 47 D-53 R, or a Republican advantage of 6.

    From R-10 to R+6 adds up to a 16 point swing from 2008. If every district moved 16 points from 2008, the Swingometer projects a 45 seat Republican gain, for 223 seats in the House and the majority.

    This will typically be a low end projection in a wave year, additionally, because the “national climate” influences fundraising, voter enthusiasm, retirements, and recruitment.

    Published in: on June 2, 2010 at 5:17 pm  Leave a Comment  
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